Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000560 0.000641 0.000727 0.000825 0.000933 0.001049 0.001181
2025-07-20 0.000441 0.000553 0.000682 0.000839 0.001022 0.001230 0.001482
2025-07-27 0.000367 0.000492 0.000641 0.000831 0.001064 0.001336 0.001677
2025-08-03 0.000308 0.000438 0.000601 0.000817 0.001089 0.001419 0.001843
2025-08-10 0.000272 0.000408 0.000585 0.000826 0.001140 0.001529 0.002042
2025-08-17 0.000240 0.000379 0.000565 0.000827 0.001178 0.001623 0.002221
2025-08-24 0.000204 0.000339 0.000527 0.000800 0.001175 0.001662 0.002329
2025-08-31 0.000175 0.000305 0.000494 0.000775 0.001172 0.001698 0.002432
2025-09-07 0.000156 0.000285 0.000478 0.000773 0.001198 0.001772 0.002585
2025-09-14 0.000140 0.000268 0.000465 0.000773 0.001227 0.001849 0.002744
2025-09-21 0.000124 0.000249 0.000447 0.000765 0.001242 0.001907 0.002877
2025-09-28 0.000109 0.000230 0.000427 0.000751 0.001247 0.001951 0.002991
2025-10-05 0.000103 0.000225 0.000429 0.000772 0.001306 0.002072 0.003217
2025-10-12 0.000095 0.000217 0.000426 0.000786 0.001353 0.002178 0.003423
2025-10-19 0.000085 0.000203 0.000412 0.000779 0.001368 0.002237 0.003564
2025-10-26 0.000075 0.000188 0.000394 0.000765 0.001371 0.002278 0.003679
2025-11-02 0.000069 0.000181 0.000390 0.000773 0.001410 0.002372 0.003873
2025-11-09 0.000063 0.000172 0.000382 0.000775 0.001436 0.002449 0.004043
2025-11-16 0.000054 0.000156 0.000360 0.000749 0.001418 0.002456 0.004109
2025-11-23 0.000047 0.000142 0.000339 0.000726 0.001401 0.002465 0.004178
2025-11-30 0.000042 0.000135 0.000331 0.000723 0.001420 0.002528 0.004328
2025-12-07 0.000039 0.000128 0.000324 0.000724 0.001442 0.002598 0.004491
2025-12-14 0.000034 0.000120 0.000314 0.000716 0.001450 0.002644 0.004618